2.2 Research Sampling Technique
This research utilizes the nonprobability sampling method to gather the neededsamples. The nonprobability sampling is a sampling technique which not all factorshave equal opportunities to be selected as the sample object (Nuryaman and Christina,2015). Also, the nonprobability technique which is selected in this study is the purposive sampling. According to Sekaran and Bougie (2017), the purposive samplingis the sampling technique which is limited to certain source that can give the desiredinformation, might due to information is solely owned by that certain source, or thesource has fulfilled the determined criteria set by the researcher.
The type of data that is used in this research is the secondary data. Thesecondary data is collected from the report published by the organizations, institutions,and related companies. This study choose to adopt time-series, monthly data from 2015to 2018 (36 observations). The data are collected from various sources; such as,Indonesian Statistic Bureau or Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), International MonetaryFunds (IMF), World Bank, Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO), and othersources.
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CHAPTERIII: METHODOLOGY..............16
3.1 Variable Operation..............16
3.2 Research Sampling Technique.................17
CHAPTER IV: RESULTS.................24
4.1 Classical Tests.................24
4.2 The Influences of Determinant Factors toward Export Value.................24
BAB V: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS..............30
5.1 Conclusion...............30
CHAPTER IV: RESULTS
4.1 Classical Tests
Table 4.1Normality, Heteroscedasticity, and Autocorrelation Test
Based on table 4.1, all variables which are tested have p-values greater than α(0.05) for the normality test; that is, unstandardized residuals of 0.20 (0.20 > 0.05).Therefore, hypothesis (H0) is accepted and the data is normally distributed.Furthermore, for the heteroscedasticity test, p-values obtained are greater than 0.05,namely 0.3849 > 0.05; 0.3589 > 0.05; and 0.2838 > 0.05. This means that the residual(error) arising from the regression equation have the same variance heteroscedasticitydoes not occur. In the autocorrelation test, the p-value is greater than 0.05 (0.866 >0.05), indicating the autocorrelation is not found.
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BAB V: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Conclusion
In accordance with the results of research that has been done and the discussionabout The Effects of Determinant Factors on Indonesian Crude Palm Oil Export, theauthor reach the following conclusions:
1. There is a collective influence of Certified Palm Oil, Exchange rate, Interest Rate,Domestic Production, Previous month CPO price, Previous month CPO exportvolume and International Soybean Oil Price on export value, export volume andprice. Hence, it can be concluded that the testing of the hypothesis which statesthat the collective influence of the independent variables on export value, exportvolume and price can be accepted.
2. Based on the results of the partial t-test, there are two variables that have an effecton export value; that is, Domestic Production and Previous Month CPO ExportVolume. While the independent variable of Certified Palm Oil, Exchange rate,Interest Rate, Previous month CPO price and International Soybean Oil Price donot have a significant effect on export value. From the results of the partialdeterminant coefficient, the previous month CPO export volume variable has agreater influence on the export value.
3. Based on the results of the partial t-test, there are two variables that have the effecton export volume; that is, Domestic Production and Previous Month CPO ExportVolume. While the other independent variables, namely, Certified Palm Oil,Exchange rate, Interest Rate, Previous month CPO price and International SoybeanPrice do not have a significant effect on export volume. The results of the partialdeterminant coefficient show that the variable of t
