摘要:这篇文章阐述了分形市场假说的基本理念。对我国上海证券市场的分形结构从2001 年到2009 年进行了实证分析。结果表明:上海证券市场具有明显的分形特征和持续性,股票的收益率不符合随机游走过程。股票收益率序列不是独立的,具有约25 天的长期记忆性。
Abstract:This paper elucidates the basic principle of Fractal Market Hypothesis and analyzes the fractal market structure in the Shanghai Stock Market from 2001 to 2009.The finding indicates:Shanghai stock market has obvious fractal characteristics and persistence.The stock return is not in accord with random walk process.The stock return series is not independent,and it has long-term memory about twenty-five days.
一、分形市场假说
二.R / S 分析法
三.实证研究
3.1 数据处理
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