摘 要:影响区域经济发展的因素众多，人文因素是其中不可忽视，事实上也是越来越受关注的一个。本文以杭州与温州为例，通过协整理论实证分析了两地经济发展状况，深入探讨了人文因素与经济发展间如何相互作用的过程。实证研究显示人文因素与经济发展的互动机理对与区域的发展产生了重大的影响。由本文可以看到，不同的人文因素与经济发展状况的相互作用形成了杭州与温州两个截然不同的区域发展模式。在人文因素的表现上本文选取了群体性格、活动主体、制度变迁、文化底蕴四个方面。由于本文建立在对于统计数据的协整分析以及调查问卷的归纳整理上，所以使研究更接近现实情况。
Abstract:There are many facts affect the development of regional economy, one of them that can not be ignored is culture features, which actually is being focused. In this paper, Hangzhou as well as Wenzhou is taken as the case, the development of them are analyzed on the basis of the theory of Cointegression, then discussed the interactive mechanism between cultural features and development of regional economies.
The study showed that the interactive mechanisms between cultural features and development of economy have significant influence to the regional development. From this article, we can see that different interactive mechanisms have formed the completely dissimilar regional development models of Hangzhou and Wenzhou.
In this paper, the characteristic, the persons, the reform and the culture facts have been referred to show the cultural features. Since the research has been on the base of the data that analyzed with the cointegression as well as the data of investigation, the research will be more credible.
目 录
摘 要 3
ABSTRACT 4
引言 6
一、研究前提与假设 7
（一）自相关性检验的前提与假设 7
（二）单位根检验的前提与假设： 7
（三）协整检验的前提与假设： 8
（四）格兰杰因果关系检验的前提与假设： 8
二、数据分析 8
（一）数据和变量的选取与模型构建 8
（二） 单位根检验 10
（三）协整分析及检验 11
（四）均衡协整模型（格兰杰因果关系检验） 12
(五)模型总结 15
三、实证结果分析 15
（一）群体性格 15
（二）活动主体的两重身份 17
（三）制度变迁 19
（四）文化底蕴 20
结论 25
致谢 26
参考文献 27
